Kuwait

Lower than 63% of years since 1951

↓Danger down from 79 a year ago

Median 5.38% · usual range -7.91% to 15.1%

The year before past crises: median 0.3%, from -18.9% before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 9.35% before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 71% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1970 (58.5%), 1991 (-71.4%), 1992 (206%), 1993 (63.3%)

Sources: Maddison Project 1950–2022 · IMF World Economic Outlook (NGDP_RPCH) 2023–2025

Higher than 73% of years since 1991

↑Danger up from 67 a year ago

Median 1.7% · usual range 0.7% to 2.37%

The year before past crises: median 2.21%, from 1.5% before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 2.47% before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 71% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS) 1991–2025

Higher than 57% of years since 1992

↓Danger down from 63 a year ago

Median 0 pp · usual range -0.22 pp to +0.28 pp

The year before past crises: median +0.2 pp, from +0.01 pp before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to +0.24 pp before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 3 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 71% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 2020 (+1.28 pp)

Sources: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS) 1991–2025

Lower than 69% of years since 1965

↑Danger up from 25 a year ago

Median 16.9% of GDP · usual range 12.3% of GDP to 24.8% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 17.7% of GDP, from 12.3% of GDP before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to 23% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Before this country's past crises (4), it read higher than in other years 70% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1991 (41.9% of GDP)

Sources: World Bank (NE.GDI.TOTL.ZS) 1965–2024

Lower than 54% of years since 2011

↓Danger down from 61 a year ago

Median 2.69% · usual range 1.32% to 7.56%

The year before past crises: median 2.42%, from 2.42% before the Oil price crash (2014) to 2.43% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 2 crises with data

Off the chart: 2020 (-11.3%)

Sources: World Bank (NE.CON.PRVT.KD) 2010–2024

Lower than 82% of years since 2011

↑Danger up from 32 a year ago

Median -0.59% · usual range -4.29% to 12.3%

The year before past crises: median -5.75%, from -8.5% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to -3% before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 2 crises: Oil price crash (2014)

Sources: World Bank (NE.EXP.GNFS.KD.ZG) 2011–2024

Lower than 65% of years since 1973

↑Danger up from 15 a year ago

Median 3.2% · usual range 0.72% to 8.63%

The year before past crises: median 3.01%, from 1.09% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 7.37% before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Iraqi invasion (1990), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 43% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FP.CPI.TOTL) 1972–2025

Lower than 74% of years since 1961

↑Danger up from 29 a year ago

Median 6.45% · usual range -0.39% to 26.1%

The year before past crises: median 7.27%, from -1.54% before the Oil price collapse (1986) to 41.4% before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Iraqi invasion (1990), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 67% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FM.LBL.BMNY.ZG) 1961–2025

Lower than 73% of years since 1967

↑Danger up from 6 a year ago

Median +5.73 pp of GDP · usual range -69.6 pp of GDP to +40.1 pp of GDP

The year before past crises: median +13.4 pp of GDP, from +1.24 pp of GDP before the Global financial crisis (2008) to +39.5 pp of GDP before the Oil price collapse (1986)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 6 crises with data

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 52% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS) 1962–2025

Lower than 88% of years since 1971

↑Danger up from 10 a year ago

Median -2.02 pp of GDP · usual range -22.2 pp of GDP to +17.5 pp of GDP

The year before past crises: median -3.12 pp of GDP, from -13.7 pp of GDP before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to +16.2 pp of GDP before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 6 crises with data

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 62% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS) 1962–2025

Lower than 93% of years since 1962

↑Danger up from 2 a year ago

Median 45.4% of GDP · usual range 6.73% of GDP to 89.1% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 66.6% of GDP, from 52.4% of GDP before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 92% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 6 crises with data

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 77% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS) 1962–2025

Higher than 50% of years since 2007

↑Danger up from 24 a year ago

Median 11.4 % of assets · usual range 10.3 % of assets to 12.1 % of assets

The year before past crises: median 11.1 % of assets, from 10.9 % of assets before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 11.2 % of assets before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 3 crises with data

Sources: World Bank (FB.BNK.CAPA.ZS) 2007–2025

Lower than 92% of years since 2007

↓Danger down from 24 a year ago

Median 2.22 % of loans · usual range 1.41 % of loans to 7.38 % of loans

The year before past crises: median 3.64 % of loans, from 1.78 % of loans before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 3.85 % of loans before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 3 crises with data

Sources: World Bank (FB.AST.NPER.ZS) 2007–2025

Higher than 92% of years since 1965

Median 87% · usual range 34.8% to 103%

The year before past crises: median 97.5%, from 94.4% before the Oil price crash (2014) to 109% before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 4 of 5 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (4), it read higher than in other years 85% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (GFDD.SI.04) 1965–2018

Higher than 59% of years since 1991

↑Danger up from 1 a year ago

Median 10.5% of GDP · usual range 3.22% of GDP to 28.4% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 7% of GDP, from 3.1% of GDP before the Oil price crash (2014) to 10.5% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 3 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 57% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook (GGXWDG_NGDP) 1991–2025

Lower than 57% of years since 1985

↑Danger up from 55 a year ago

Median 27.5% of GDP · usual range 0.2% of GDP to 38.8% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 29.7% of GDP, from 13% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 40.4% of GDP before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 4 of 5 crises: Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 46% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1990 (-49.9% of GDP), 1991 (-145% of GDP)

Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook (GGXCNL_NGDP) 1985–2025

Higher than 82% of years since 1996

↑Danger up from 38 a year ago

Median -3.55 pp of GDP · usual range -14.4 pp of GDP to +5.75 pp of GDP

The year before past crises: median -2.3 pp of GDP, from -14.3 pp of GDP before the Global financial crisis (2008) to +7.1 pp of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook (GGXWDG_NGDP) 1991–2025

Lower than 96% of years since 1993

Median 2.48 % of spending · usual range 0.19 % of spending to 7.8 % of spending

Sources: World Bank (GC.XPN.INTP.ZS) 1993–2006

Higher than 84% of years since 1993

↑Danger up from 61 a year ago

Median 83.9% of GDP · usual range 48.1% of GDP to 121% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 83.9% of GDP, from 83.9% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 83.9% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 1 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Sources: World Bank (CM.MKT.LCAP.GD.ZS) 1993–2025

Lower than 62% of years since 1975

↑Danger up from 46 a year ago

Median 26.1% of GDP · usual range 10.1% of GDP to 46.2% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 36.8% of GDP, from 21.5% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 54.7% of GDP before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 4 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 29% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (BN.CAB.XOKA.GD.ZS) 1975–2025

Lower than 60% of years since 1961

↑Danger up from 36 a year ago

Median 0% · usual range -3.26% to 1.58%

The year before past crises: median 1.45%, from -2.05% before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 5.29% before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: Global financial crisis (2008)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 63% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1973 (-9.84%)

Sources: World Bank (PA.NUS.FCRF) 1960–2025

Higher than 83% of years since 1975

↑Danger up from 11 a year ago

Median 6.74 months of imports · usual range 4.28 months of imports to 8.99 months of imports

The year before past crises: median 6.64 months of imports, from 4.37 months of imports before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to 8.19 months of imports before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 6 crises with data

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 49% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (FI.RES.TOTL.MO) 1975–2025

Higher than 72% of years since 1970

↑Danger up from 19 a year ago

Median 0.04% of GDP · usual range -0.03% of GDP to 1.08% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 0.07% of GDP, from 0% of GDP before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 0.82% of GDP before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 55% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1994 (6.11% of GDP), 2011 (2.12% of GDP), 2012 (1.65% of GDP)

Sources: World Bank (BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS) 1970–2025

Higher than 93% of years since 1900

→Danger about the same as a year ago (93)

Median 0.52 of 4 · usual range 0.23 of 4 to 1.21 of 4

The year before past crises: median 1.14 of 4, from 0.93 of 4 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 1.5 of 4 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 5 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 86% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1900–2025

Higher than 72% of years since 1900

→Danger about the same as a year ago (72)

Median 0.91 of 4 · usual range 0.38 of 4 to 1.35 of 4

The year before past crises: median 1.23 of 4, from 0.73 of 4 before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 1.77 of 4 before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 63% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1900–2025

Higher than 88% of years since 1900

→Danger about the same as a year ago (88)

Median 0.31 of 4 · usual range 0.29 of 4 to 0.75 of 4

The year before past crises: median 0.47 of 4, from 0.29 of 4 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 0.96 of 4 before the Oil price collapse (1986)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 5 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 42% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1900–2025

Higher than 96% of years since 1850

→Danger about the same as a year ago (96)

Median 0.38 of 4 · usual range 0.27 of 4 to 0.57 of 4

The year before past crises: median 0.28 of 4, from 0.24 of 4 before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 0.42 of 4 before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 12% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Lower than 54% of years since 1850

→Danger about the same as a year ago (46)

Median 0 of 4 · usual range 0 of 4 to 0 of 4

The year before past crises: median 0 of 4, from 0 of 4 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 0 of 4 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 48% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Lower than 100% of years since 1905

↑Danger up from 91 a year ago

Median +0.1 points · usual range -1.1 points to +11.1 points

The year before past crises: median +1.6 points, from -14.2 points before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to +13.8 points before the Oil price collapse (1986)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 46% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1961 (+6.1 points), 1962 (+10.1 points), 1963 (+13.7 points), 1964 (+13.8 points), 1965 (+13.2 points), 1966 (+10.4 points), 1967 (+5 points), 1981 (+13 points), 1982 (+13.9 points), 1983 (+13.9 points), 1984 (+13.9 points), 1985 (+13.8 points), 1992 (+11.1 points), 1993 (+14.4 points), 1994 (+14.4 points), 1995 (+15.6 points), 1996 (+15.3 points)

Sources: V-Dem 1900–2025

Higher than 97% of years since 1968

→Danger about the same as a year ago (97)

Median 0.08 · usual range 0 to 0.2

The year before past crises: median 0.07, from 0 before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to 0.18 before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 71% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: FRED WUIKWT 1968–2026-04

Higher than 50% of years since 1991

↓Danger down from 53 a year ago

Median 4.54% · usual range 1.62% to 6.69%

The year before past crises: median 5.15%, from 3.3% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 6.98% before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 3 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 14% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS) 1991–2025 · World Bank (FP.CPI.TOTL) 1972–2025

Lower than 88% of years since 1980

→Danger about the same as a year ago (12)

Median 21.1% · usual range 17.7% to 21.1%

The year before past crises: median 21.1%, from 17.7% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 21.1% before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 32% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Inequality Database via Our World in Data 1980–2024

Higher than 75% of years since 1850

Median 1.01 of 4 · usual range 0.93 of 4 to 1.9 of 4

The year before past crises: median 1.84 of 4, from 1.83 of 4 before the Oil price crash (2014) to 1.9 of 4 before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 6 crises: Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Higher than 64% of years since 1990

Median 45% of GDP · usual range 33.5% of GDP to 61% of GDP

The year before past crises: median 38.5% of GDP, from 30.4% of GDP before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 50.3% of GDP before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 3 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Off the chart: 1990 (123% of GDP), 1991 (209% of GDP)

Sources: IMF Public Finances in Modern History 1990–2024

Lower than 84% of years since 1850

Median 0.06 of 4 · usual range 0 of 4 to 0.2 of 4

The year before past crises: median 0.08 of 4, from 0 of 4 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 0.18 of 4 before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Higher than 100% of years since 1850

Median 0 of 4 · usual range 0 of 4 to 0.03 of 4

The year before past crises: median 0.02 of 4, from 0 of 4 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 0.06 of 4 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Higher than 65% of years since 1850

↑Danger up from 1 a year ago

Median 31.6 of 100 · usual range 31.6 of 100 to 50 of 100

The year before past crises: median 48.8 of 100, from 37.5 of 100 before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to 52.1 of 100 before the Oil price crash (2014)

Today is less extreme than the year before every one of the 6 crises with data

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 87% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Higher than 93% of years since 1855

↑Danger up from 4 a year ago

Median 0 points · usual range -1.9 points to +1.6 points

The year before past crises: median -0.8 points, from -3.3 points before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to +4.3 points before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 60% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1896 (-2 points), 1897 (-2 points), 1898 (-2 points), 1899 (-2 points), 1900 (-3.7 points), 1901 (-1.7 points), 1902 (-1.7 points), 1903 (-1.7 points), 1904 (-1.7 points), 1962 (+8 points), 1963 (+8.7 points), 1964 (+8.7 points), 1965 (+7.2 points), 1966 (+4.8 points), 1976 (-1.8 points), 1977 (-4.9 points), 1978 (-3.7 points), 1979 (-3.7 points), 1980 (-4.8 points), 1981 (-1.9 points), 1987 (-2.2 points), 1988 (-3.3 points), 1989 (-3.3 points), 1990 (-7.5 points), 1991 (-6.7 points), 1995 (+5.1 points), 1996 (+5.1 points), 2002 (-1.2 points), 2003 (-1.2 points), 2004 (-2 points), 2005 (-1.9 points), 2006 (-2.2 points), 2019 (+4.3 points), 2022 (+9.7 points), 2023 (+12.7 points), 2024 (+6 points)

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Lower than 99% of years since 1855

→Danger about the same as a year ago (99)

Median 0 points · usual range -2.5 points to +2.8 points

The year before past crises: median -2 points, from -5.8 points before the Oil price crash (2014) to +1.7 points before the Oil price collapse (1986)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 72% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1950 (+4.3 points), 1951 (+4.3 points), 1952 (+4.3 points), 1953 (+4.3 points), 1954 (+4.3 points), 1960 (+2.8 points), 1961 (+5.9 points), 1962 (+5.9 points), 1963 (+6.6 points), 1964 (+6.6 points), 1965 (+4.6 points), 1966 (+3 points), 1967 (+3 points), 1990 (-9.9 points), 1992 (+7.2 points), 1993 (+6.7 points), 1994 (+6.7 points), 1995 (+13.6 points), 1996 (+12.7 points)

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Lower than 74% of years since 1850

→Danger about the same as a year ago (26)

Median 2.13 of 4 · usual range 1.04 of 4 to 2.55 of 4

The year before past crises: median 1.58 of 4, from 1.35 of 4 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 1.67 of 4 before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 5 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 51% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1850–2025

Higher than 50% of years since 1961

→Danger about the same as a year ago (50)

Median 0 · usual range 0 to 0

The year before past crises: median 0, from 0 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982) to 0 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 50% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: V-Dem 1961–2024

Higher than 91% of years since 1989

↑Danger up from 43 a year ago

Median 0 · usual range 0 to 4.9

The year before past crises: median 0, from 0 before the Iraqi invasion (1990) to 0 before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 4 of 4 crises: Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 43% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Inequality Database via Our World in Data 1989–2026

Higher than 67% of years since 1991

↓Danger down from 76 a year ago

Median 7.33% · usual range 2.89% to 15.4%

The year before past crises: median 13.6%, from 6.86% before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 15.2% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 71% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: World Bank (SL.UEM.1524.ZS) 1991–2025

Higher than 93% of years since 1960

Median 2.82 per 100 workers · usual range 2.13 per 100 workers to 3.81 per 100 workers

The year before past crises: median 2.51 per 100 workers, from 2.09 per 100 workers before the Oil price collapse (1986) to 4.77 per 100 workers before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 5 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Sources: World Bank (SP.POP.DPND.OL) 1960–2025

Higher than 95% of years since 1947

↑Danger up from 65 a year ago

Median 0.57% · usual range -14.5% to 36.5%

The year before past crises: median 1.03%, from -12.3% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 22.8% before the Iraqi invasion (1990)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 52% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1974 (168%)

Sources: FRED WTISPLC 1946–2026-09

Lower than 77% of years since 1974

→Danger about the same as a year ago (23)

Median 2.79% · usual range -4.52% to 11%

The year before past crises: median 7.24%, from -4.72% before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 11.7% before the Oil price collapse (1986)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 1 of 6 crises: Global financial crisis (2008)

Before this country's past crises (3), it read higher than in other years 49% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: FRED TWEXBMTH 1973–2019 · FRED DTWEXBGS 2020–2026-09

Lower than 67% of years since 1990

→Danger about the same as a year ago (33)

Median 17.6 · usual range 12.8 to 26.6

The year before past crises: median 15.4, from 14.2 before the Oil price crash (2014) to 17.5 before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 3 crises: Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 25% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: FRED VIXCLS 1990–2026-09

Higher than 70% of years since 1993

↑Danger up from 9 a year ago

Median 1.46% · usual range -11.8% to 25.8%

The year before past crises: median -3.01%, from -8.38% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 13.2% before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 35% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: FRED PALLFNFINDEXM 1992–2026-07

Higher than 64% of years since 1993

↑Danger up from 27 a year ago

Median 1.47% · usual range -8.32% to 14.7%

The year before past crises: median -0.34%, from -3.06% before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 14% before the Global financial crisis (2008)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 2 of 3 crises: Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (2), it read higher than in other years 35% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Sources: FRED PFOODINDEXM 1992–2026-07

Higher than 90% of years since 1997

↓Danger down from 100 a year ago

Median 121 · usual range 71.4 to 239

The year before past crises: median 129, from 70.1 before the Global financial crisis (2008) to 235 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 3 of 3 crises: Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Sources: FRED GEPUCURRENT 1997–2026-07

Higher than 88% of years since 1900

↑Danger up from 80 a year ago

Median 86.3 · usual range 45.1 to 161

The year before past crises: median 83.1, from 69.9 before the COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020) to 102 before the Souk al-Manakh crash (1982)

Today is at least as extreme as the year before 6 of 6 crises: Souk al-Manakh crash (1982), Oil price collapse (1986), Iraqi invasion (1990), Global financial crisis (2008), Oil price crash (2014), COVID-19 and oil collapse (2020)

Before this country's past crises (5), it read higher than in other years 33% of the time; 50% is what chance would give.

Off the chart: 1915 (270), 1916 (260), 1917 (297), 1918 (332), 1942 (306), 1943 (344), 1944 (377)

Sources: Geopolitical Risk index (Caldara & Iacoviello) 1900–2026-09